1. What the market dictates
Clearly, Kris Dunn’s trade value has taken a hit after last season. Teams making an offer, if any even are, would try to low ball the Bulls.
From the Chicago Bulls perspective, keeping Dunn right now is a win-win. If he plays well, his stock will rise and they may be able to trade him mid-year for a quality player.
Teams in need of defense or a second team point guard could come calling. This scenario could especially come into play if Daniel Gafford or Wendell Carter Jr. struggle or get injured.
At that point the Bulls would shop Dunn for a big man. Center is the one position the Bulls lack experience and depth at.
On the other hand, if Dunn’s play continues to falter, and White does not progress quickly, the Bulls will just keep him as an insurance policy. That could also be the case if there is an injury to Satoransky, White or Ryan Arcidiacono, who they just signed to a three-year deal. If that were to happen, they would keep Dunn for the duration of the year and just wouldn’t extend him a qualifying offer after the season.
At the end of the day, Kris Dunn will get his shot. But a lot will have to go his way if he hopes to stay a Bull for the entirety of the season, let alone for many years to come.